Greece reached a major milestone on June 19, 2000. Europe's
oldest currency, the drachma, finally got the green light
fromEuropean Unionleaders at a summit in Santa Maria
da Feira, near Oporto in northern in Portugal ,
allowing it to join economic
and monetary union (EMU) on January 1, 2001,
making Greece the 12th
full member of the eurozone
When newly-elected Prime Minister Costas
Simitis said in 1996 that Greece intended to join
the European single currency by 2001, it seemed an ambitious
goal. At the time, the likes of Italy, Spain and Portugal,
were themselves unsure of entry, and, despite a firm commitment
to EMU convergence dating back to 1993, much work had to be
done.
This is all the more reason why the acceptance of Greece
into the eurozone by EU leaders highlighted a remarkable turnaround
that has seen the country achieve nominal economic convergence
with its wealthier partners. Years of austerity have reaped
rewards as Greece toiled to achieve the required five criteria
on inflation,
public sector deficits, debt, interest rates and currency
stability.
Nominal convergence, meeting the targets set out in the Maastricht
treaty, has been rapid and sharp.
The Greek inflation dragon has been slain, with inflation
coming down to EU norms from double-digits six years ago.
The country's deficit to gross domestic product (GDP) ratio
has fallen from more than 7 per cent in 1996 to well below
the Maastricht goal of 3 per cent.
National debt remains high, but as a ratio to GDP is smaller
than that of some other eurozone countries and is set to shrink
as the next round of privatisations proceed.
The drachma has been successfully steered towards the euro
entry rate of 340.75 and even had to be revalued by 3.5 per
cent in January- an unheard of sign of strength - as part
of the process.
Long-term interest rates have converged, while short-term
rates are being gradually trimmed to EU levels.
European boost
When Greece officially joins the eurozone
from the start of 2001 it will add 10.5 million
people to the zones existing 291 million-strong population.
Greeces participation in EMU will also reinforce its attempts
to play a stabilising
role in the southern Balkans.
Most analysts agree that Greeces entry into the eurozone
will turn the regions economy into a moving target as most
have only just begun to understand what the European
Central Bank is aiming at. The Bank consistently
emphasises the forward-looking nature of its monetary policy
and has already no doubt discounted Greek EMU membership.
Analysts generally agree, however, that Greek entry will not
make a major impact on the euro-zone economy as the country
will only account for about 1.9 per cent of the enlarged areas
GDP of about 6.23 trillion euros. A bigger impact would occur
when larger economies, such as Britain and Sweden, join.
European UnionPresident Romano Prodi applauded
Greeces EMU entry. He said the feat should serve as an example,
not only for EU candidate countries, but those like Britain
which had yet to join Euroland.
Spanish Prime Minister Jose Maria Aznar and Luxembourgs Jean-Claud
Juncker also applauded the move as they welcomed Greeces
entry into the eurozone. "Greeces participation in the euro
will be a success for Europe. Undoubtedly, the drachmas entry
will be positive for the present and future of Greece and
from the present and future of Europe", Aznar said.
Challenges remain beyond single currency
The top two challenges for Greek economic policy in the years
ahead will be public debt reduction and achieving high rates
of economic growth. We are setting the course Greece will
follow as a full member of the eurozone. Greece cannot follow
the road of strong growth burdened by the debt load that was
accumulated by wrong choices in the past. Greeces goal will
be to lower the public debt to GDP ratio to close to 60 per
cent, National Economy
and Finance Minister Yiannos Papantoniou said
in July. Another challenge for Greece as the 12th member of
the eurozone will be to achieve sustainable high growth rates
in order to bring about real convergence and attain living
standards of other EU countries, while boosting jobs and aiming
for greater social cohesion. Achieving these ambitious goals
will be a major challenge for the next decade as Greeces public
debt, although drastically reduced, is still more than 100
per cent of GDP.
Bank of Greece governor Lucas
Papademos has said that structural reforms will be the
main tool to achieve Greeces main goals of low inflation and
unemployment, along with high growth rates post-EMU.
"The challenge of low inflation must be met with fiscal policy
and structural adjustment measures which will seek to contain
the growth of aggregate demand and boost competitiveness.
The lower cost of financing with the convergence of interest
rates, coupled with price stability, will strengthen investment
and economic activity", Papademos said earlier in the summer.
"Greece's EMU entry is a historic event for our country.
With the adoption of the euro in January 2001, a long period
of strenuous efforts to stabilise the economy reaches completion",
he said as he heralded "a new era, characterised by new possibilities,
but also new challenges".
Over the next 10-15 years, Greece aims to achieve high annual
economic growth of at least 5 per cent and to reduce public
debt to 60 per cent of GDP. At the same time, Greece should
move faster in opening its energy and telecommunications markets
and reduce the states presence in the economy in a highly
competitive environment.
In a strong signal of the positive impact of Greeces EMU
entry, debt
rating agency. Moodys International removed Greeces country
ceiling for debt and deposits and placed the country within
the triple-A/prime-1 regional ceiling for debt and deposits
assigned to the eurozone.
Simitis summed up the feeling of most. "With this one
single move, Greece has emerged a much stronger country, with
more possibilities and much greater self-confidence. Our entry
into EMU represents a security investment for our country.
It enhances our significance vis-a-vis our neighbours, who
are trying to become members of the European Union. We want
Greece to be in the forefront of European developmentsGreece
enters the nucleus of the EU as a strong country, with a strong
economy, with international recognition and a regional role",
he said.